Adaptive management in crop pest control in the face of climate variability: an agent-based modeling approach

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dc.careerCiencias Biológicases
dc.category.authorvisitoren_US
dc.contributor.authorDangles, Olivier Jacques
dc.contributor.correspondingDangles, Olivier Jacques
dc.countryEcuadores
dc.date.accessioned2023-11-04T21:44:44Z
dc.date.available2023-11-04T21:44:44Z
dc.date.issued2015
dc.dedication.authorTPes
dc.description.abstractClimate changes are occurring rapidly at both regional and global scales. Farmers are faced with the challenge of developing new agricultural practices to help them to cope with unpredictable changes in environmental, social, and economic conditions. Under these conditions, adaptive management requires a farmer to learn by monitoring provisional strategies and changing conditions, and then incrementally adjust management practices in light of new information. Exploring adaptive management will increase our understanding of the underlying processes that link farmer societies with their environment across space and time, while accounting for the impacts of an unpredictable climate. Here, we assessed the impacts of temperature and crop price, as surrogates for climate and economic changes, on farmers’ adaptive management in crop pest control using an agent-based modeling approach. Our model simulated an artificial society of farmers that relied on field data obtained in the Ecuadorian Andes. Farmers were represented as heterogeneous autonomous agents who interact with and influence each other, and who are capable of adapting to changing environmental conditions. The results of our simulation suggest that variable temperatures led to less effective pest control strategies than those used under stable temperatures. Moreover, farmers used information gained through their own past experience or through interactions with other farmers to initiate an adaptive management approach. At a broader scale, this study generates more than an increased understanding of adaptive management; it highlights how people depend on one another to manage common problems.en_US
dc.facultyCiencias Exactas y Naturaleses
dc.id.author05-H164551
dc.id.type2
dc.identifier.doi10.5751/ES-07511-200218
dc.identifier.issn1708-3087
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.puce.edu.ec/handle/123456789/6047
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol20/iss2/art18/
dc.indexed.databaseScimago Journal Rankes
dc.language.isoen
dc.list.authorsRobaudo F., y Dangles, O.
dc.magazine.pageRange1-13
dc.magazine.titleEcology and Societyen_US
dc.magazine.volumeChapter20 (2)
dc.rightsClosedAccessen
dc.statepublisheden_US
dc.subjectControl de plagases
dc.subjectManejo del cultivoes
dc.subjectCambios climáticoses
dc.subjectAgroecosistemases
dc.subjectControl de plagas
dc.subjectManejo del cultivo
dc.subjectCambios climáticos
dc.subjectAgroecosistemas
dc.titleAdaptive management in crop pest control in the face of climate variability: an agent-based modeling approachen_US
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