An input–output ex ante regional model to assess the short-term net effects of the 16 April 2016 earthquake in Ecuador

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dc.careerEconomíaes
dc.category.authorprincipalen_US
dc.contributor.authorMancheno Ponce, Diego Xavier
dc.contributor.authorSalgado Molina, Jorge Andrés
dc.contributor.correspondingMancheno Ponce, Diego Xavier y Salgado Molina, Jorge Andrés
dc.countryEcuadores
dc.date.accessioned2023-11-04T21:44:22Z
dc.date.available2023-11-04T21:44:22Z
dc.date.issued2021-08
dc.dedication.authorTCes
dc.description.abstractThe 16 April 2016 earthquake in Ecuador exposed the significant weaknesses concerning the methodological designs to compute—from an economic standpoint—the consequences of a natural hazard-related disaster for productive exchanges and the accumulation of capital in Ecuador. This study addressed one of these challenges with an innovative ex ante model to measure the partial and net short-term effects of a natural hazard-related catastrophe from an interregional perspective, with the 16 April 2016 earthquake serving as a case study. In general, the specified and estimated model follows the approach of the extended Miyazawa model, which endogenizes consumption demand in a standard input–output model with the subnational interrelations and resulting multipliers. Due to the country’s limitations in its regional account records the input–output matrices for each province of Ecuador had to be estimated, which then allowed transactions carried out between any two sectors within or outside a given province to be identified by means of the RAS method. The estimations provide evidence that the net short-term impact on the national accounts was not significant, and under some of the simulated scenarios, based on the official information with respect to earthquake management, the impact may even have had a positive effect on the growth of the national product during 2016.en_US
dc.facultyEconomíaes
dc.id.author1704428034
dc.id.author1720302924
dc.id.type1
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-021-00354-6
dc.identifier.issn2095-0055
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.puce.edu.ec/handle/123456789/6029
dc.identifier.urihttps://www.proquest.com/docview/2562073716/abstract/41E760885E8044F9PQ/1?accountid=13357
dc.indexed.databaseScimago Journal Rankes
dc.language.isoen
dc.list.authorsSalgado, J., Ramírez-Álvarez, J., y Mancheno, D.
dc.magazine.pageRange510–527
dc.magazine.titleInternational Journal of Disaster Risk Scienceen_US
dc.magazine.volumeChapter12 (4)
dc.rightsOpenAccessen
dc.statepublisheden_US
dc.subjectDesastres Naturaleses
dc.subjectTerremotoses
dc.subjectCuentas Nacionaleses
dc.subjectIndicadores Económicoses
dc.subjectEcuador-Economíaes
dc.subjectDesastres Naturales
dc.subjectTerremotos
dc.subjectCuentas Nacionales
dc.subjectIndicadores Económicos
dc.subjectEcuador-Economía
dc.titleAn input–output ex ante regional model to assess the short-term net effects of the 16 April 2016 earthquake in Ecuadoren_US
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